This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$759 Volume
15%
40-64
$371 Volume
41%
65-89
$183 Volume
29%
90-114
$1.1K Volume
13%
115-139
$105 Volume
3%
140-164
$40 Volume
1%
165-189
$740 Volume
1%
190-214
$4.2K Volume
1%
215-239
$1.7K Volume
1%
240+
$1.8K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?
The field is wide open: 40-64 tops it at just 41%, with 65-89 close behind at 29%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 40-64 at 41% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 3 Aug 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $120.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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