This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
29°C or below
$1.7K Volume
1%
30°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
31°C
$4.4K Volume
1%
32°C
$15.2K Volume
1%
33°C
$22.2K Volume
99%
34°C
$15.9K Volume
1%
35°C
$22.9K Volume
1%
36°C
$13.5K Volume
1%
37°C
$7.5K Volume
1%
38°C
$1K Volume
1%
39°C or higher
$543 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
33°C dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 34°C, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Traders price 33°C at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Traders have put $118.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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