Bitcoin · Weekly

Bitcoin above ___ on August 4?

View on Polymarket

$2.1M Volume

04/08/2026 16:00

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54,000

$1.3K Volume

99%

56,000

$4.2K Volume

99%

58,000

$7.8K Volume

98%

60,000

$2.6K Volume

95%

62,000

$1.6K Volume

83%

64,000

$6.2K Volume

57%

66,000

$3.2K Volume

25%

68,000

$694 Volume

70,000

$60 Volume

72,000

$5 Volume

74,000

$5 Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin above ___ on August 4?

54,000 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 56,000, trades at just 98%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin above ___ on August 4?

Traders price 54,000 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Bitcoin above ___ on August 4 market resolve?

The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (6 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin above ___ on August 4?

$2.1M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Bitcoin above ___ on August 4 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.