Bitcoin · Weekly

Bitcoin above ___ on August 5?

$2.1M Volume
05/08/2026 16:00
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54,000
99%
56,000
99%
58,000
$2.9K Volume
97%
60,000
$128 Volume
93%
62,000
$294 Volume
79%
64,000
$11 Volume
55%
66,000
$622 Volume
27%
68,000
$776 Volume
10%
70,000
$4 Volume
5%
72,000
3%
74,000
2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin above ___ on August 5?
54,000 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 56,000, trades at just 98%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin above ___ on August 5?
With 99% implied for 54,000, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Bitcoin above ___ on August 5 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 5 Aug 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin above ___ on August 5?
Traders have put $2.1M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin above ___ on August 5 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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