This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
23°C or below
$637 Volume
1%
24°C
$987 Volume
1%
25°C
$960 Volume
1%
26°C
$8K Volume
1%
27°C
$17.6K Volume
1%
28°C
$19.6K Volume
1%
29°C
$34.5K Volume
1%
30°C
$24.7K Volume
1%
31°C
$31.2K Volume
1%
32°C
$30.2K Volume
99%
33°C or higher
$36.2K Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
32°C dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 33°C or higher, trades at just 2%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
Traders price 32°C at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4 market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
$309.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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