This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
26°C or below
$323 Volume
1%
27°C
$433 Volume
1%
28°C
$1.1K Volume
1%
29°C
$1.2K Volume
1%
30°C
$2K Volume
1%
31°C
$5.6K Volume
1%
32°C
$7.8K Volume
1%
33°C
$9.3K Volume
1%
34°C
$14K Volume
99%
35°C
$9K Volume
4%
36°C or higher
$20.4K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 4?
34°C dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, 35°C, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 4?
Traders price 34°C at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 4 market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 4?
Total turnover stands at $78.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 4 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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