This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 2% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Traders have put $16.5M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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