This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$1.3K Volume
20%
40-64
$261 Volume
42%
65-89
$250 Volume
32%
90-114
$59 Volume
10%
115-139
$778 Volume
2%
140-164
$85 Volume
1%
165-189
$25 Volume
1%
190-214
$173 Volume
1%
215-239
$1.8K Volume
1%
240+
$1.9K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 40-64 trades at 42%, 65-89 at 32%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 40-64 tops the implied probabilities at just 42%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 8 Aug 2026 (5 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $440.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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