This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$1.7K Volume
1%
20-39
$1.6K Volume
1%
40-59
$1.6K Volume
1%
60-79
$826 Volume
1%
80-99
$10 Volume
9%
100-119
$35 Volume
12%
120-139
$25 Volume
11%
140-159
$15 Volume
6%
160-179
$15 Volume
7%
180-199
$1.2K Volume
15%
200-219
$15 Volume
17%
220-239
$15 Volume
15%
240-259
$54 Volume
14%
260-279
$15 Volume
10%
280-299
$15 Volume
8%
300-319
$82 Volume
8%
320-339
$428 Volume
3%
340-359
$586 Volume
2%
360-379
$115 Volume
2%
380-399
$10 Volume
10%
400-419
$10 Volume
11%
420-439
$177 Volume
1%
440-459
$25 Volume
1%
460-479
$25 Volume
1%
480-499
$125 Volume
1%
500+
$25 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 200-219 trades at 17%, 180-199 at 15%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 200-219 at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 11 Aug 2026 (11 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Traders have put $1.4M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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