This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
9
posts so far
· pace 18
<40
$42.9K Volume
49%
40-64
$27.6K Volume
40%
65-89
$25.3K Volume
10%
90-114
$21.7K Volume
2%
115-139
$28.2K Volume
1%
140-164
$17.8K Volume
1%
165-189
$8.2K Volume
1%
190-214
$6.6K Volume
1%
215-239
$5.9K Volume
1%
240+
$3.7K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
It's a genuine race: <40 edges the field at 48%, barely ahead of 40-64 at 40%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
Traders give <40 a 48% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 5 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
$446.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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