Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition?
Traders are split - 49% for Yes versus 51% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition?
Traders give Yes a 49% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (116 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition?
Traders have put $55 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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