Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition?
Yes is priced at 49% and No at 52%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition?
Traders currently imply a 49% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How can I trade California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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