US Election · Politics

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

View on Polymarket

$92.2K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

market.mkt_cta_label

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

December 31, 2026

$60.4K Volume

19%

Resolved 1

December 31, 2025

$31.7K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by?

Yes is priced at 18% and No at 83%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by?

Traders currently imply a 18% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by?

Total traded volume on this market is $92.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.