Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Tax Spend Audit Proposition?
Yes is the outsider here at 39%, while No trades at 61%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for California Tax Spend Audit Proposition?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the California Tax Spend Audit Proposition market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (117 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on California Tax Spend Audit Proposition?
$50 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade California Tax Spend Audit Proposition on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
