Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
Traders are split - 57% for Yes versus 43% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
Traders give Yes a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the California Rainy Day Fund Proposition market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (117 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
Total turnover stands at $50. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade California Rainy Day Fund Proposition on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
