Proposition 38 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow $8.4 billion in debt to research immune system-based technologies for treating conditions including cancer, heart disease and Alzheimer’s.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Immunology Research Bond Proposition?
Traders are split - 49% for Yes versus 52% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for California Immunology Research Bond Proposition?
At 49% implied for Yes, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the California Immunology Research Bond Proposition market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (73 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on California Immunology Research Bond Proposition?
$40 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade California Immunology Research Bond Proposition on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
