This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
≤0.2%
$350 Volume
3%
0.3% - 0.4%
$826 Volume
12%
0.5% - 0.6%
$7.9K Volume
39%
0.7% - 0.8%
$8.4K Volume
35%
0.9%+
$1.2K Volume
15%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for August Inflation China - Annual?
Even the leader is cheap - 0.5% - 0.6% trades at 39%, 0.7% - 0.8% at 33%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for August Inflation China - Annual?
No strong consensus yet: 0.5% - 0.6% tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the August Inflation China - Annual market resolve?
The market runs until 9 Sep 2026 (18 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on August Inflation China - Annual?
Traders have put $90 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade August Inflation China - Annual on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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