This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
≤1.9%
$83 Volume
89%
2.0-2.4%
$20 Volume
11%
2.5-2.9%
$68 Volume
88%
3.0-3.4%
$28 Volume
87%
3.5-3.9%
$77 Volume
68%
4.0%+
$80 Volume
41%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026?
It's a genuine race: ≤1.9% edges the field at 51%, barely ahead of 2.5-2.9% at 44%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026?
Traders give ≤1.9% a 51% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 22 Jan 2027 (197 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026?
$355 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
No change99%YesNo
50+ bps increase1%YesNo
No change89%YesNo
25 bps increase10%YesNo
December 3131%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
↑16565%YesNo
↓15026%YesNo
0.0%–0.8%29%YesNo
1.6%–2.4%15%YesNo
