Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego

ATP
Lorenzo Sonego67
Adrian Mannarino16⁵
Final
Game context

Adrian Mannarino faces Lorenzo Sonego in the Winston-Salem Open second round on outdoor hard courts, where both former champions bring contrasting styles and uneven 2026 records. The 38-year-old Frenchman holds a 3-2 head-to-head lead, including a perfect 3-0 mark on this surface, relying on his left-handed variety and defensive craft, yet enters on a three-match losing streak after early exits in Cincinnati and Montreal. Sonego, ranked around No. 91, arrives with marginally stronger recent results—including a three-set win over Pierre-Hugues Herbert—and greater raw power that has produced deeper runs like Wimbledon’s third round. Trader consensus reflects these tensions, with models assigning Sonego a modest edge around 55-56% implied probability while acknowledging Mannarino’s historical success and home-tournament familiarity as realistic upset factors in a best-of-three format.

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Moneyline
$192.4K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Lorenzo Sonego in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 6:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Lorenzo Sonego.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Adrian Mannarino.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 99%, ahead of Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 99%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Total traded volume on this market is $17.1M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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