Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Kuomintang (KMT)
$59.9K Volume
93%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
$40.5K Volume
9%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
$54K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner?
The current front-runner is Kuomintang (KMT) at 92%, ahead of Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) at 9%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner?
Traders currently imply a 92% chance for Kuomintang (KMT). Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 28 Nov 2026 (95 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $154.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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