PolyMarketsCoil
Daily news, analyses and guides on Polymarket prediction markets - politics, economy, Bitcoin, the Middle East and sports. Includes a free training mode with $1,000 virtual to practice risk-free.
Training mode: practice risk-free with $1,000 in virtual money - learn how Polymarket works before trading real USDC.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
18%
Spain
18%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
France
18%
Spain
18%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
+54 more options
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Marco Rubio
14%
Kamala Harris
6%
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Marco Rubio
14%
Kamala Harris
6%
+124 more options
All markets
Browse by topic
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
FranceYes 18¢No 82¢
SpainYes 17¢No 83¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 83¢No 17¢
July 31
Yes 72¢No 28¢
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
Yes 10¢No 90¢
by June 30, 2026
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Iran ceasefire continues through...?
May 24
Yes 99¢No 1¢
May 25
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceYes 19¢No 81¢
Gavin NewsomYes 16¢No 84¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Game 2 Winner
Yes 99¢No 1¢
First Blood in Game 1?
Yes 99¢No 1¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 7Yes 60¢No 40¢
May 31Yes 40¢No 60¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢
June 15
Yes 28¢No 72¢
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceYes 35¢No 65¢
Marco RubioYes 23¢No 77¢
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
Yes 48¢No 52¢
San Antonio Spurs
Yes 26¢No 74¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 25?
66,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
68,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?
260-279
Yes 55¢No 45¢
280-299
Yes 24¢No 76¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 24¢No 76¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 9¢No 91¢
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka
Yes 99¢No 1¢
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
↓ $90
Yes 86¢No 14¢
↓ $85
Yes 47¢No 53¢
F1 Drivers' Champion
Kimi Antonelli
Yes 58¢No 42¢
George Russell
Yes 28¢No 72¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
↓ 70,000
Yes 5¢No 95¢
↑ 85,000
Yes 3¢No 97¢
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 98¢No 2¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 23 - May 25, 2026?
40-64
Yes 89¢No 11¢
65-89
Yes 13¢No 87¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Yes 82¢No 18¢
Any Player Penta Kill
Yes 50¢No 50¢
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan BardellaYes 23¢No 77¢
Édouard PhilippeYes 19¢No 81¢
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 44¢No 56¢
Flávio BolsonaroYes 27¢No 73¢
🇮🇱 Israel, Middle East & Geopolitics
Show All →US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 83¢No 17¢
July 31
Yes 72¢No 28¢
Iran ceasefire continues through...?
May 24
Yes 99¢No 1¢
May 25
Yes 99¢No 1¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 7Yes 60¢No 40¢
May 31Yes 40¢No 60¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢
June 15
Yes 28¢No 72¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 45¢No 55¢
June 30
Yes 27¢No 73¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
Yes 26¢No 74¢
June 30
Yes 9¢No 91¢
📈 Active Markets
Updated every 5 minutesLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Game 2 Winner
Yes 99¢No 1¢
First Blood in Game 1?
Yes 99¢No 1¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 7Yes 60¢No 40¢
May 31Yes 40¢No 60¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢
June 15
Yes 28¢No 72¢
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceYes 35¢No 65¢
Marco RubioYes 23¢No 77¢
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
Yes 48¢No 52¢
San Antonio Spurs
Yes 26¢No 74¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 25?
66,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
68,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?
260-279
Yes 55¢No 45¢
280-299
Yes 24¢No 76¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 24¢No 76¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 9¢No 91¢
💰 Economy & Markets
Show All →When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
Yes 10¢No 90¢
by June 30, 2026
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 25?
66,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
68,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
↓ 70,000
Yes 5¢No 95¢
↑ 85,000
Yes 3¢No 97¢
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 98¢No 2¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 1¢No 99¢
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Unfreeze Iranian AssetsYes 38¢No 62¢
Oil Sanction ReliefYes 24¢No 76¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 26?
68,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
66,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
News & Analysis
All News →
Investigation
From Fort Bragg to Tel Aviv: The Polymarket Insider-Trading Arrests That Are Now Reshaping Prediction Markets
A US Army soldier indicted over $409K in Maduro-capture bets. An Israeli Air Force major charged for trading the Iran-strike date. A wallet that hijacked a $7M Ukraine market through UMA. Three congressional candidates fined for betting on their own races. The seven authenticated cases that are forcing prediction markets - and governments - to reckon with insider trading.
Investigation
The Polymarket Ceasefire Resolutions That Both Sides Are Calling Scandals: $203M Iran NO, $20.9M Hezbollah YES
Two big April-2026 Polymarket markets settled in opposite directions despite both arguably violating their own rules: US-Iran extended-by-Apr-22 ($203M, 3 UMA disputes) settled NO; Israel-Hezbollah extended-by-Apr-26 ($20.9M, 2 UMA disputes) settled YES. We verified the gamma API ourselves and walk through every fact.
Learn
All Guides →
Start trading prediction markets
Concise guides - open an account, place your first trade, master strategy. Step-by-step.
01
What Is Polymarket? The Complete Beginner's Guide (2026)
Learn what Polymarket is, how prediction markets work, and whether it's right for you. Covers trading mechanics, fees, real examples, verified profitability stats.
02
How to Create a Polymarket Account (Step-by-Step Guide)
Step-by-step guide to creating your Polymarket account. Covers email, Google, and wallet sign-up methods, proxy wallet security, KYC requirements, 2FA setup.
03
How to Deposit Money on Polymarket (Cheapest Methods 2026)
The complete 2026 Polymarket deposit guide. Compare credit card (1-4.5%), crypto transfer (under $1), bank ACH, cross-chain bridging, and MoonPay side by side.
04
How to Withdraw from Polymarket to Your Bank or Wallet (2026)
Complete Polymarket withdrawal guide. Step-by-step: withdrawing USDC to exchanges, bank accounts (ACH/SEPA), and self-custody wallets. Fees, limits, processing.
05
Your First Trade on Polymarket - A Complete Walkthrough (2026)
A true step-by-step guide to your first Polymarket trade. Read a market page, approve USDC, choose market vs limit orders, size your position, monitor P&L.
06
Types of Markets on Polymarket - Complete Category & Structure Guide
Every Polymarket market structure and category explained: binary, multi-outcome, NegRisk, conditional, 5-minute crypto, perps. Where your edge lives in 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What is Polymarket?Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcomes of real-world events - from politics to crypto and sports. Prices reflect the collective probability of traders.
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Is Polymarket legal in my country?Polymarket operates as an international decentralized platform. Regulations vary by country. It's recommended to consult a tax advisor regarding reporting obligations.
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How much money do I need to start?You can start with just a few dollars. The minimum per trade depends on the asset price - you can buy shares for as little as 1 cent each.
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How do I deposit money?You can deposit using USDC (a stable digital currency), credit card, or bank transfer. The system also supports crypto wallets like MetaMask.
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What's the difference between prediction markets and gambling?Prediction markets are based on two-way trading (buying and selling) with continuous price discovery, while gambling is based on fixed odds set by the bookmaker. On Polymarket you can sell a position before the event ends.
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How do I sign up to Polymarket?Polymarket signup needs a crypto wallet (MetaMask/Coinbase Wallet) or an email account, basic identity verification, and a USDC deposit. Our step-by-step guides walk you through every screen - from wallet setup to your first trade.
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Is Polymarket available in my country?Polymarket is a global decentralised platform; some jurisdictions restrict access. Check the Polymarket terms for the current country list. Our guides explain deposits, withdrawals, taxes and risks for international traders.
