Tech Prediction Markets

Tech prediction markets let you trade the future of the industry - which AI model ships next, whether a company hits an earnings or launch target, who acquires whom, and how the AI race unfolds. Each Polymarket price is a live probability, like a 65% chance a product launches before year-end.

Tech moves on announcements - keynotes, releases and earnings calls. If you follow the space closely, your edge is knowing the real timelines better than the crowd.

368 active markets
AlibabaAlibaba52%YesNo
ThinkyThinky41%YesNo
November 3049%YesNo
August 3119%YesNo
December 316%YesNo
November 304%YesNo
November 3058%YesNo
October 3145%YesNo
CBOECBOE23%YesNo
ForecastExForecastEx20%YesNo
↓ $1558%YesNo
↑ $3025%YesNo
December 3196%YesNo
September 153%YesNo
September 307%YesNo
December 311%YesNo
December 31, 2026December 31, 20262%
December 31, 2027December 31, 20279%
December 31December 3177%YesNo
December 15December 1568%YesNo
↓ $842%YesNo
↑ $206%YesNo
December 31, 202617%
June 30, 202749%
↓ $534%YesNo
↓ $831%YesNo
October 317%
December 3118%
Dolly PartonDolly Parton95%YesNo
Chuck NorrisChuck Norris57%YesNo
1440+59%YesNo
1460+42%YesNo
GoogleGoogle42%YesNo
MetaMeta39%YesNo
$2.5B86%YesNo
$2.6B82%YesNo
OpenAIOpenAI40%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic6%YesNo
October 3121%
November 3059%
$15+86%YesNo
$20+63%YesNo
$42B81%YesNo
$44B65%YesNo
December 31December 314%
March 31March 3113%
October 311%
December 3123%
$2.0B90%YesNo
$2.1B58%YesNo
$16.0B73%YesNo
$17.0B63%YesNo
$33.5B93%YesNo
$35.0B81%YesNo
December 3138%
February 2825%

Tech Markets FAQ

What tech markets are on Polymarket?

AI model and product releases, big-tech earnings and milestones, IPOs and acquisitions, and the broader AI race (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and more).

How do tech markets resolve?

Against a clear public event by a stated date - an official launch, an earnings report or a confirmed deal. Read the resolution rules for the exact trigger.

Where is the edge in tech markets?

Knowing real ship dates and launch patterns. Companies routinely miss self-imposed deadlines, so realistic timelines beat hype.

Are 5-minute or hype markets worth trading?

Short-term hype markets are dominated by fast traders and news swings. Beginners do better on longer milestone markets where research pays off.

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