Tech · hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

$1.5K Volume
01/10/2026 03:59
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August 31
$5.6K Volume
57%
September 30
$647 Volume
83%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.

Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.

An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Critical Discord Incident by?
The current front-runner is September 30 at 57%, ahead of August 31 at 37%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Critical Discord Incident by?
Traders currently imply a 57% chance for September 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Critical Discord Incident by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Critical Discord Incident by?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Critical Discord Incident by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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