This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes is priced at 4% and No at 96%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 4% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the OpenAI acquired before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade OpenAI acquired before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T93%YesNo
Z.ai95%YesNo
Google4%YesNo
Anthropic91%YesNo
OpenAI5%YesNo
October 3194%YesNo
September 3086%YesNo
Anthropic99%YesNoOpenAI1%YesNo
Alibaba96%YesNoZ.ai3%YesNo
1.5T+48%YesNo
1T–1.25T17%YesNo
1.8T+84%YesNo
1.5–1.8T9%YesNo
