ORCL · Tech

Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?

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$8.4K Volume

01/07/2027 03:59

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December 31, 2026

$3.2K Volume

19%

June 30, 2027

$5.2K Volume

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation, or its rating on Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt, to below investment grade ("junk") by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

"Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating or Moody's Ratings' long-term issuer rating on Oracle Corporation. "Below investment grade" means BB+ or lower on the S&P Global Ratings scale, or Ba1 or lower on the Moody's Ratings scale.

A downgrade of Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt to below investment grade by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation remains investment grade.

A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by?

The current front-runner is June 30, 2027 at 49%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 17%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by?

Traders currently imply a 49% chance for June 30, 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jul 2027 (240 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by?

Total traded volume on this market is $8.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.