Tech · Tesla

Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

$9.8K Volume
01/01/2028 04:59
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December 31, 2026
$4.3K Volume
3%
December 31, 2027
$5.5K Volume
11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Tesla has delivered at least one Roadster to a qualifying customer by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Roadster" refers to the next-generation Tesla Roadster unveiled on November 16, 2017, in any trim or edition, including the Founders Series, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the Roadster. The original Tesla Roadster produced from 2008 to 2012 will not qualify.

A delivery means the physical handover of a production vehicle to a qualifying customer, in any region. A qualifying customer must be a member of the general public, including a reservation holder, who has purchased the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Deliveries to Tesla or SpaceX employees, executives, directors, or their family members, to subsidiaries or internal entities, or for promotional, testing, demonstration, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify. A single handover to a recipient selected by Tesla outside its public order or reservation process (for example a celebrity delivery ahead of deliveries to reservation holders) will not qualify.

Unveilings, demonstrations, test rides, prototype displays, announced delivery dates, and production announcements will not qualify on their own; a completed delivery meeting the above criteria must occur within this market's timeframe.

Confirmation of the delivery must occur within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Tesla Roadster delivered by?
The current front-runner is December 31, 2027 at 9%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 2%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Tesla Roadster delivered by?
Traders currently imply a 9% chance for December 31, 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Tesla Roadster delivered by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2028 (424 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Tesla Roadster delivered by?
Total traded volume on this market is $9.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Tesla Roadster delivered by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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