This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Past
July 31
$3 Volume
50%
Resolved 1
June 30
$9.3K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for AWS service disrupted by?
The market prices Yes at only 27%, with No at 73%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for AWS service disrupted by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 27% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the AWS service disrupted by market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (21 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on AWS service disrupted by?
$9.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade AWS service disrupted by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
6-854%YesNo
9-1121%YesNo
August 3177%YesNo
July 3137%YesNo
<350%YesNo
321%YesNo
June 301%
July 3138%



