This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa.
This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
WTA
Paula Badosa61
Daria Kasatkina12LIVE · S2
Game context
Daria Kasatkina enters the US Open first-round matchup against Paula Badosa as the more active player on hard courts, with recent matches in Washington, Toronto, and Cincinnati offsetting a mixed record. Badosa, ranked 87 after rebuilding via a July clay-court surge that included a Bastad title and Iasi final, brings strong historical results but arrives without competitive hard-court matches since March and following extended injury absences. Kasatkina leads the head-to-head 5-3, including straight-sets wins in their last two encounters, while both players sit outside the top 50 and face a tightly contested opener on outdoor hard where recent match volume and surface adaptation weigh heavily on trader assessments of implied probabilities.
Moneyline
$292K Vol.Match Completed
$1.3K Vol.Set Total
$50 Vol.US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$90 Vol.Total Games
$564 Vol.US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.5
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$43 Vol.More Bets
$5 Vol. Resolution Source: www.wtatennis.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 50%, ahead of US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (5 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.9M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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