The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ciro Gomes
$91.3K Volume
61%
Elmano de Freitas
$37K Volume
40%
Eduardo Girão
$14.5K Volume
1%
Capitão Wagner
$14.5K Volume
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$14K Volume
1%
Camilo Santana
$12.9K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ceará Governor Election Winner?
The current front-runner is Ciro Gomes at 61%, ahead of Elmano de Freitas at 39%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Ceará Governor Election Winner?
Traders currently imply a 61% chance for Ciro Gomes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Ceará Governor Election Winner market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Ceará Governor Election Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $184.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Ceará Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNo
Marine Le Pen33%YesNo
Édouard Philippe25%YesNo
JD Vance23%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot55%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu28%YesNo
Magdalena Andersson89%YesNo
Ulf Kristersson11%YesNo
United Russia (ER)99%YesNo
New People (NL)1%YesNo
Democrats Sweep49%YesNo
R Senate, D House38%YesNo
Democratic Party88%YesNo
Republican Party13%YesNo
