This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
Money currently favors Yes at 77%, with No holding 24%. The gap is meaningful yet far from safe; prices update in real time.
What do traders predict for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
The market makes Yes the favorite at 77%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
Total turnover stands at $4.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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