Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Past
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare
$6.5K Volume
91%
Ransom Canyon: Season 2
$12.4K Volume
10%
The Hawk: Season 1
$921 Volume
1%
The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series
$843 Volume
1%
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1
$861 Volume
1%
Hannibal: Season 1
$276 Volume
1%
I Will Find You: Limited Series
$861 Volume
1%
Elite Force: Season 1
$165 Volume
1%
My Daughter's Father: Season 1
$338 Volume
1%
The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4
$165 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare dominates the field at 91%; the nearest challenger, Show A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Traders price The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare at a 91% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the What will be the top US Netflix show this week market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (5 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Total turnover stands at $23.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade What will be the top US Netflix show this week on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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