This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
400 - 500m
$131 Volume
9%
500 - 600m
$2K Volume
23%
600 - 700m
$1.6K Volume
28%
700 - 800m
$145 Volume
39%
800 - 900m
$131 Volume
8%
<400m
$196 Volume
2%
900m+
$142 Volume
10%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
Even the leader is cheap - 700 - 800m trades at 32%, 600 - 700m at 27%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
No strong consensus yet: 700 - 800m tops the implied probabilities at just 32%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (40 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
$14.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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