This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Movies
· Culture
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
280-290m
$154 Volume
16%
290-300m
$187 Volume
30%
300-310m
$395 Volume
31%
310-320m
$557 Volume
13%
320-330m
$486 Volume
15%
330-340m
$57 Volume
6%
340-350m
$137 Volume
14%
<280m
$2.6K Volume
23%
350m+
$2.1K Volume
8%
Resolution Source: www.the-numbers.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
The field is wide open: <280m tops it at just 22%, with 300-310m close behind at 20%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
No strong consensus yet: <280m tops the implied probabilities at just 22%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) market resolve?
Mark 2 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
Traders have put $81.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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