Global Elections · Elections

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

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$7.1K Volume

27/09/2026 06:00

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Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Senate (Sénat) (senat.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Yes is priced at 90% and No at 10%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Traders currently imply a 90% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 27 Sep 2026 (34 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Total traded volume on this market is $7.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.