This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Yes
$12.4M Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? (Resolved)?
$55.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
Similar Markets
Alibaba92%YesNo
Z.ai5%YesNo
Alibaba70%YesNoZ.ai18%YesNo
December 3197%YesNo
October 3196%YesNo
