Politics · Global Elections

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

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$159.2K Volume

06/09/2026 00:00

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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes is the outsider here at 42%, while No trades at 59%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.

What do traders predict for Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 42% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt market resolve?

Mark 6 Sep 2026 (53 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

$159.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.