This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Andrew Oldham
$245 Volume
14%
Neomi Rao
$72 Volume
12%
James Ho
$49 Volume
51%
John Sauer
$55 Volume
11%
Amul Thapar
$43 Volume
9%
Ted Cruz
$70 Volume
34%
Aileen Cannon
$58 Volume
33%
Patrick Bumatay
$42 Volume
32%
Mike Lee
$66 Volume
27%
Gregory Katsas
$53 Volume
9%
Steven Menashi
$67 Volume
40%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
The front-runner right now is Candidate H at 50%, ahead of Candidate I at 50%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
The market gives Candidate H a 50% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 19 Jan 2029 (934 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
Total traded volume on this market is $820 - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
June 30, 202763%YesNo
December 3128%YesNo
December 3176%YesNo
September 3051%YesNo
July 312%
December 3136%
