This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
James Ho
$464 Volume
34%
Amul Thapar
$208 Volume
22%
Andrew Oldham
$637 Volume
13%
Patrick Bumatay
$881 Volume
11%
Steven Menashi
$105 Volume
11%
Neomi Rao
$108 Volume
10%
Aileen Cannon
$255 Volume
9%
John Sauer
$121 Volume
7%
Ted Cruz
$160 Volume
9%
Gregory Katsas
$127 Volume
15%
Mike Lee
$125 Volume
10%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
It's a genuine race: Candidate A edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of Candidate B at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
At 50% implied for Candidate A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 19 Jan 2029 (881 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
Traders have put $3.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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