This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
September 30, 2026
$26 Volume
10%
December 31, 2026
$749 Volume
8%
June 30, 2027
$11 Volume
86%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by?
No runaway leader here - June 30, 2027 at 52% versus September 30, 2026 at 6%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by?
At 52% implied for June 30, 2027, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jul 2027 (312 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by?
Traders have put $787 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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