This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
July 31
$960.2K Volume
1%
December 31
$12.7K Volume
70%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by?
The money is on December 31 at 70%; July 31 follows at 1%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by?
The market makes December 31 the favorite at 70%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (154 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by?
Traders have put $972.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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