This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<$1T
$639 Volume
14%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$80 Volume
28%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$80 Volume
28%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$163 Volume
12%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$1.6K Volume
11%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$388 Volume
13%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$82 Volume
37%
$2.5T+
$139 Volume
7%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Even the leader is cheap - $2.25T–$2.5T trades at 22%, $1.0T–$1.25T at 20%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
No strong consensus yet: $2.25T–$2.5T tops the implied probabilities at just 22%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jul 2027 (355 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Traders have put $3.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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