This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
chatgpt
· sam altman
· Finance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T
$38 Volume
15%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$1 Volume
13%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$7 Volume
11%
$1.5T–$1.75T
4%
$1.75T–$2.0T
1%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$140 Volume
3%
$2.5T+
$86 Volume
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1 Volume
6%
About This Market
Similar Markets
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$900B
Yes 92¢No 8¢
↑$1.0T
Yes 87¢No 13¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑$850B
Yes 91¢No 9¢
↑$875B
Yes 79¢No 21¢
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?
<2
Yes 43¢No 57¢
2
Yes 37¢No 63¢
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+Yes 52¢No 48¢
