This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Google
$11.2K Volume
84%
Runway
$338 Volume
7%
ByteDance
$483 Volume
7%
KlingAI
$328 Volume
6%
Tencent
$251 Volume
4%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$246 Volume
1%
Pixverse
$237 Volume
1%
Pruna
$300 Volume
6%
Kandinsky
$237 Volume
1%
Lightricks
$323 Volume
2%
Pika
$369 Volume
1%
Meta
$186 Volume
1%
OpenAI
$251 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$354 Volume
1%
Luma AI
$270 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$309 Volume
1%
Genmo AI
$309 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
The current front-runner is Google at 83%, ahead of Other at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
Traders currently imply a 83% chance for Google. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Sep 2026 (37 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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