AI · Tech

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

$186.9K Volume
31/10/2026 23:59
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Anthropic
$9.4K Volume
86%
OpenAI
$2K Volume
5%
Google
$2K Volume
5%
SpaceXAI
$2.6K Volume
3%
Meta
$2K Volume
2%
Z.ai
$3.7K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$1.6K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$1.5K Volume
1%
Moonshot
$1.6K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$1.5K Volume
1%
Baidu
$2K Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$1.4K Volume
1%
Amazon
$1.4K Volume
1%
Nvidia
$2K Volume
1%
Thinky
$925 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$1.2K Volume
1%
Mistral
$1.8K Volume
1%
Meituan
$1.5K Volume
1%
Tencent
$907 Volume
1%
StepFun
$498 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$1.3K Volume
1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company K
50%
Other
50%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Anthropic dominates the field at 86%; the nearest challenger, Company A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best AI model end of October?
With 86% implied for Anthropic, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which company has the best AI model end of October market resolve?
Mark 31 Oct 2026 (69 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Total turnover stands at $186.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which company has the best AI model end of October on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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