This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed modelI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
OpenAI
$56.9K Volume
99%
xAI
$211.1K Volume
99%
DeepSeek
$292.5K Volume
1%
Anthropic
$603.1K Volume
1%
Meta
$152K Volume
1%
Zhipu AI
$134.4K Volume
1%
Mistral
$112.8K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$182.9K Volume
1%
Nvidia
$47.9K Volume
1%
01A1
$22.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $5.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
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