This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Past
Anthropic
$35.1K Volume
74%
Google
$31.1K Volume
19%
OpenAI
$24.1K Volume
4%
xAI
$10.3K Volume
1%
Meituan
$2.2K Volume
1%
Meta
$3.6K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$2.8K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$2.9K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$2.8K Volume
1%
Moonshot
$2.7K Volume
1%
Mistral
$1.9K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$1.9K Volume
1%
Amazon
$2.7K Volume
1%
Baidu
$1.8K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$1.8K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
The money is on Anthropic at 73%; Google follows at 18%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
The market makes Anthropic the favorite at 73%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Which company has the best Math AI model end of July market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (22 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
Total turnover stands at $6.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which company has the best Math AI model end of July on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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