This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Prior to August 31
$347 Volume
7%
August 31–September 6
$277 Volume
8%
September 7–September 13
$921 Volume
25%
September 14–September 20
$292 Volume
3%
September 21–September 27
$371 Volume
12%
September 28–October 4
$420 Volume
44%
October 5–October 11
$300 Volume
9%
October 12–October 18
$317 Volume
8%
October 19–October 25
$276 Volume
1%
No release by November 1
$10.3K Volume
45%
October 26–November 1
$227 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
The current front-runner is No release by November 1 at 45%, ahead of September 28–October 4 at 22%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
Traders currently imply a 45% chance for No release by November 1. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Nov 2026 (70 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
Total traded volume on this market is $14K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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