AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina

AS Roma enter the Serie A opener at Stadio Olimpico as clear favorites, with the 60.5% implied probability reflecting their strong home record against Fiorentina and historical edge in the Derby dell'Appennino. Roma's squad depth, including potential returns for key attackers like Paulo Dybala, contrasts with Fiorentina's absences such as Moise Kean and Fabiano Parisi, limiting their counterattacking threat on the road. Preseason preparations and last season's momentum favor the Giallorossi, though Fiorentina's solid recent form keeps the draw at 23.5% viable in a tightly contested matchup. Weather conditions around 27°C are unlikely to alter tactics significantly.