This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Yes is priced at 68% and No at 33%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Traders currently imply a 68% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Total traded volume on this market is $7.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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