If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 3%, while No trades at 97%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 3%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Ukraine joins NATO before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Total turnover stands at $1.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Ukraine joins NATO before 2027 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
December 3126%YesNo
October 3115%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20263%YesNo
December 312%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20265%YesNo
