This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
0.2–0.3%
$2.5K Volume
75%
0.4–0.5%
$2.7K Volume
20%
0.0–0.1%
$981 Volume
25%
0.6–0.7%
$3.6K Volume
8%
Negative
$3.1K Volume
9%
0.8–0.9%
$3.4K Volume
1%
1.0%+
$311 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
0.2–0.3% leads the field at 70%, with 0.0–0.1% next at 18%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
The market makes 0.2–0.3% the favorite at 70%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ) market resolve?
Mark 12 Aug 2026 (18 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Total turnover stands at $16.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ) on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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