This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
29°C or below
$19.3K Volume
1%
30°C
$8.1K Volume
2%
31°C
$9.4K Volume
7%
32°C
$12.4K Volume
35%
33°C
$10.6K Volume
41%
34°C
$19.7K Volume
15%
35°C
$15.1K Volume
5%
36°C
$7.1K Volume
3%
37°C
$3.8K Volume
1%
38°C
$1.2K Volume
1%
39°C or higher
$1.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 25?
The field is wide open: 33°C tops it at just 41%, with 32°C close behind at 35%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 25?
Right now the market's best guess is 33°C at 41% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 25 market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 25?
$254.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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