This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
<0%
$1.7K Volume
3%
0-1.0%
$11.6K Volume
78%
1.0-2.0%
$7.2K Volume
20%
2.0-3.0%
$1.2K Volume
2%
3.0-4.0%
$1.1K Volume
1%
4.0-5.0%
$2.2K Volume
5%
5.0-6.0%
$1.2K Volume
1%
6.0-7.0%
$2.7K Volume
1%
7.0%+
$1.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
The current front-runner is 0-1.0% at 77%, ahead of 1.0-2.0% at 20%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
Traders currently imply a 77% chance for 0-1.0%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Jan 2027 (159 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $69, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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