This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
1.0-2.0%
$2.3K Volume
52%
0-1.0%
$709 Volume
53%
<0%
$885 Volume
20%
6.0-7.0%
$1.9K Volume
3%
7.0%+
$1.1K Volume
3%
5.0-6.0%
$688 Volume
4%
3.0-4.0%
$614 Volume
3%
4.0-5.0%
$1.6K Volume
2%
2.0-3.0%
$689 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
The front-runner right now is 1.0-2.0% at 48%, ahead of 0-1.0% at 34%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
The market gives 1.0-2.0% a 48% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Jan 2027 (214 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $519 - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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